A Review of Microsimulation for Policy Analysis

摘要: There are a wide range of methodological frameworks and techniques for policy evaluation socio-economic impact assessment. A useful distinction is to divide the literature on such models by level resolution adopted. It then possible identify macro, meso micro approaches. Macro models, dealing with whole countries or nations, most common in economics social policy. Meso-scale where nations split into regional zones, have longer tradition science, planning geography (McCann 2001; Stimson et al. 2006). For example, many former macro-scale as input–output now increasingly appearing at scale. Quantitative geographers tended build meso-scale smaller geographical regions, small-area census-based zoning systems within cities (Wilson 1974; Foot 1981; Stillwell Clarke 2004; Fotheringham Rogerson 2009). These types model long history applied success but complex dynamics which underlie economic change, emphasised Chap. 2, can produce very different results localities even individual households (or firms). In particular, it be able understand, estimate predict localities, individuals (given their demographic characteristics) likely benefit from change environmental policies. Thus, could argued that relevant modelling challenging research area well suited framework emphasises household individual-level processes local rather than aggregated macro/meso-level.