Constructing a Complex Judgmental Model: An Index of Trauma Severity

作者: Dennis G. Fryback , Ralph L. Keeney

DOI: 10.1287/MNSC.29.8.869

关键词:

摘要: The modeling of many complex phenomena necessarily relies on numerous interrelated judgments. This paper illustrates an application the concepts multiattribute utility assessment, based professional judgments one physician, to scale trauma severity injuries individuals. Special attention is given problems not usually present or reported in applications assessment techniques. These include nonmonotonic functions, strong dependencies among different measures, and state dependence age existing diseases individual. manner which these complexities were addressed indicated.

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