CO2 Emission Reduction Potential in China's Electricity Sector: Scenario Analysis Based on LMDI Decomposition
作者： Baihe Gu , Xianchun Tan , Yuan Zeng , Zekun Mu
DOI: 10.1016/J.EGYPRO.2015.07.210
关键词: Annual growth rate 、 Consumption (economics) 、 Environmental economics 、 Electricity generation 、 Thermal power station 、 Driving factors 、 Scenario analysis 、 Electricity 、 Engineering 、 Climate change
摘要: Abstract The CO2 emission reduction from China's electricity sector will matter not only for China but impact the result of global action on climate change. This paper firstly analyzed main factors that affect in accordance with LMDI decomposition model. Then three scenarios were assumed based to explore potential. Furthermore, method was used again measure contribution each factor potential future. results showed continue grow 2010 2020, an annual growth rate 10.7%, 6.5% and 4.5%, respectively. active low carbon policies taken driving contribute 2701Mt - 3688Mt reduction. share low-carbon power generation thermal efficiency are most important However, long run, more. Terminal consumption is always up. Finally, development proposed analysis results.
core.ac.uk
elsevier.com
sci-hub.se 参考文章(20)
B.W Ang, Decomposition analysis for policymaking in energy:: which is the preferred method? Energy Policy. ,vol. 32, pp. 1131- 1139 ,(2004) , 10.1016/S0301-4215(03)00076-4
Wenjia Cai, Can Wang, Ke Wang, Ying Zhang, Jining Chen, Scenario analysis on CO2 emissions reduction potential in China's electricity sector Energy Policy. ,vol. 35, pp. 6445- 6456 ,(2007) , 10.1016/J.ENPOL.2007.08.026
Ram M. Shrestha, Govinda R. Timilsina, Factors affecting CO2 intensities of power sector in Asia: A Divisia decomposition analysis Energy Economics. ,vol. 18, pp. 283- 293 ,(1996) , 10.1016/S0140-9883(96)00019-9
Enrico Benetto, Emil-Corneliu Popovici, Patrick Rousseaux, Jacques Blondin, Life cycle assessment of fossil CO2 emissions reduction scenarios in coal-biomass based electricity production Energy Conversion and Management. ,vol. 45, pp. 3053- 3074 ,(2004) , 10.1016/J.ENCONMAN.2003.12.015
Robert Harmsen, Wina Graus, How much CO2 emissions do we reduce by saving electricity? A focus on methods Energy Policy. ,vol. 60, pp. 803- 812 ,(2013) , 10.1016/J.ENPOL.2013.05.059
Thomas Telsnig, Jan Tomaschek, Enver Doruk Özdemir, David Bruchof, Ulrich Fahl, Ludger Eltrop, Assessment of selected CCS technologies in electricity and synthetic fuel production for CO2 mitigation in South Africa Energy Policy. ,vol. 63, pp. 168- 180 ,(2013) , 10.1016/J.ENPOL.2013.08.038
Lan-Cui Liu, Ying Fan, Gang Wu, Yi-Ming Wei, Using LMDI method to analyze the change of China's industrial CO2 emissions from final fuel use: An empirical analysis Energy Policy. ,vol. 35, pp. 5892- 5900 ,(2007) , 10.1016/J.ENPOL.2007.07.010
Paul A. Steenhof, Decomposition for emission baseline setting in China's electricity sector Energy Policy. ,vol. 35, pp. 280- 294 ,(2007) , 10.1016/J.ENPOL.2005.11.024
Z.A. Muis, H. Hashim, Z.A. Manan, F.M. Taha, P.L. Douglas, Optimal planning of renewable energy-integrated electricity generation schemes with CO2 reduction target Renewable Energy. ,vol. 35, pp. 2562- 2570 ,(2010) , 10.1016/J.RENENE.2010.03.032
Izzet Ari, Merih Aydinalp Koksal, Carbon dioxide emission from the Turkish electricity sector and its mitigation options Energy Policy. ,vol. 39, pp. 6120- 6135 ,(2011) , 10.1016/J.ENPOL.2011.07.012