Predictors of Mortality Poorly Predict Common Measures of Disease Progression in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

作者: Brett Ley , Williamson Z. Bradford , Eric Vittinghoff , Derek Weycker , Roland M. du Bois

DOI: 10.1164/RCCM.201508-1546OC

关键词: CohortDisease progressionPhysical therapyClinical trialVital capacityIdiopathic pulmonary fibrosisProportional hazards modelFEV1/FVC ratioInterstitial lung diseaseInternal medicineMedicine

摘要: Rationale: Mortality prediction is well studied in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), but little known about predictors of premortality disease progression. Identification patients at risk for progression would be useful clinical decision-making and designing trials.Objectives: To develop models IPF.Methods: In a large trial cohort with IPF (n = 1,113), we comprehensively screened multivariate candidate baseline past-change defined by 48-week worsening FVC, dyspnea (University California, San Diego Shortness Breath Questionnaire [UCSD SOBQ]), 6-minute-walk distance (6MWD), occurrence respiratory hospitalization, or death. Progression outcomes were modeled as appropriate, slope change using linear regression time to binary Cox proportional hazards models.Measurements Main Results: The overall experienced considerable...

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