Future biodiesel policy designs and consumption patterns in Latvia: a system dynamics model.

摘要: Abstract Decarbonisation of transport has become central to European Union policy. Biofuels are expected represent a substantial part the overall strategy towards diversifying Europe's energy supplies and curbing greenhouse gas emissions in cost-effective way. This research deals with dynamic simulation modeling biodiesel market as transportation fuel analyses various policy support instruments on increasing proportion biofuel total demand. The study is carried out for Latvia's road sector. After it had experienced generous financial from government allowing industry develop, was abruptly stopped creating stagnation both supply threatened national goals. goal this find most effective strategies achieving goals by applying system dynamics current conditions fuels.. Specifically, primary focus paper an attempt gain insight into long-term behavior Latvia. principal tools mechanisms implemented can be summarized as: i) state subsidies at different levels stages (i.e. production sector, agricultural end consumer sectors), ii) excise taxes fossil fuels, iii) share blend. results obtained model simulations confirm that promoting acceptance among end-users key issue.