System Dynamics Modeling of Corn Ethanol as a Bio Transportation Fuel in the United States

摘要: The production capacity of corn ethanol as a transportation fuel is experiencing rapid growth in the United States. demand driven by increased prices gasoline, government mandates, incentives, desire for cleaner fuels, and need to achieve energy independence. Continued strong industry will depend on profitability both suppliers producers. This turn be influenced several factors such demand, feedstock availability prices, processing plant capacity, efficient farm technologies. How what extent projected States some or all these factors? We use system dynamics modeling construct causal-loop structure stock flow diagrams explore how changes affect industry. Currently, planners researchers various supply options year 2030, when world usage expected double that 2009. By developing executing model, this paper explores different possible scenarios next twenty one years.