Connectivity Planning to Address Climate Change

作者: TRISTAN A. NUÑEZ , JOSHUA J. LAWLER , BRAD H. MCRAE , D. JOHN PIERCE , MEADE B. KROSBY

DOI: 10.1111/COBI.12014

关键词: GeographyClimate changeHumanities

摘要: As the climate changes, human land use may impede species from tracking areas with suitable climates. Maintaining connectivity between of different temperatures could allow organisms to move along temperature gradients and continue occupy same space as warms. We used a coarse-filter approach identify broad corridors for movement where influence is low while simultaneously routing present-day spatial temperature. modified cost–distance algorithm model these tested data on current land-use patterns in Pacific Northwest United States. The resulting maps identified network patches across which climates change. are likely be robust uncertainty magnitude direction future change because they derived patterns. assumptions we applied our simplified stability responses use, but flexible enough tailored specific regions by incorporating other variables or costs. When at appropriate resolutions, value local, regional, continental conservation initiatives seeking promote movements changing climate. Planificacion de Conectividad para Atender el Cambio Climatico Resumen A medida que cambia clima, uso suelo por humanos puede impedir las especies encuentren con climas adecuados. El mantenimiento la conectividad entre temperaturas diferentes permitiria los organismos se muevan lo largo gradientes temperatura y continuen ocupando mismo espacio clima cambia. Utilizamos un metodo grano grueso identificar corredores movimiento baja influencia humana simultaneamente trazando actuales. Modificamos algoritmo costo–distancia modelar estos probamos modelo datos sobre patrones climaticos actuales en Noroeste Estados Unidos. Los mapas resultantes identificaron una red parches pueden mover Es posible sean robustos incertidumbre magnitud direccion del cambio climatico futuro porque estan derivados suelo. supuestos aplicamos nuestro simplificaron estabilidad respuestas al suelo, pero es suficientemente ser adaptado regiones especificas mediante incorporacion otras climaticas o costos movimiento. Cuando utiliza resoluciones apropiadas, valioso iniciativas conservacion locales, regionales continentales buscan promover cambiante.

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