Consideration of reference points for the management of renewable resources under an adaptive management paradigm

作者: BRIAN J. IRWIN , MICHAEL J. CONROY

DOI: 10.1017/S0376892913000222

关键词: Resource managementDecision analysisData managementDecision support systemAdaptive managementEnvironmental resource managementNatural resource managementComputer scienceRisk analysis (engineering)Resource (project management)Decision rule

摘要: The success of natural resource management depends on monitoring, assessment and enforcement. In support these efforts, reference points (RPs) are often viewed as critical values management-relevant indicators. This paper considers RPs from the standpoint objective-driven decision making in dynamic systems, guided by principles structured (SDM) adaptive (AM). During development policy, have been variously treated either ‘targets’ or ‘triggers’. Under a SDM/AM paradigm, target correspond approximately to value-based objectives, which may turn be fundamental interest stakeholders intermediaries other central objectives. By contrast, trigger rules that presumed lead desirable outcomes (such programme targets). Casting triggers targets within SDM framework is helpful towards clarifying why (or whether) particular metric appropriate. Further, benefits process include elucidation underlying untested assumptions reveal alternative metrics for use RPs. Likewise, decision-analytic also failure achieve goals not because wrong, but decision-making they embedded insufficiently robust uncertainty, efficiently directed at producing objective, incapable adaptation new knowledge.

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