Decision Making in Natural Resource Management: A Structured, Adaptive Approach

摘要: List of boxes xi Preface xiii Acknowledgements xiv Guide to using this book xv Companion website xvii PART I. INTRODUCTION TO DECISION MAKING 1 Introduction: Why a Structured Approach in Natural Resources? 3 2 Elements Decision Making 13 Identifying and Quantifying Objectives Resource Management 24 4 Working with Stakeholders 57 II. TOOLS FOR AND ANALYSIS 77 5 Statistics 79 6 Modeling the Infl uence Decisions 147 7 Reducing Uncertainty 192 8 Methods for Obtaining Optimal 232 III. APPLICATIONS 261 9 Case Studies 263 10 Summary, Lessons Learned, Recommendations 294 IV. APPENDICES 307 Appendix A Probability Distributional Relationships 309 B Common Statistical Distributions 317 C Estimation 339 D Parsimony, Prediction, Multi-Model Inference 373 E Mathematical Approaches Optimization 384 F Software 430 G Electronic Book 432 Glossary 433 Index 449