摘要: 90 British Journal of Healthcare Management 2014 Vol 20 No 2 © 01 4 M A H ea lth ca re L td Figure 1 is illustrative this clash ideologies, where a 4.8% increase in outpatient first attendance (mostly GP referred) occurs December 2011. 5.2% admissions via AE 2013e; 2014). Therefore, the slightly earlier referral and consequent can be understood terms deteriorating health necessitating referral, eventual hospital admission then death. similar time spatial cascade involving has been documented following an event 2007. On that occasion, demand was far higher than seen 2012 could outcome different strain same infectious agent. This observed differential effects influenza strains against morbidity mortality. Rod Jones Forecasting conundrum: disease
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