'Low Carbon' Scenarios, Roadmaps, Transitions and Pathways: an Overview and Discussion

摘要: There are a range of studies based in the low carbon arena which use various ‘futures’- based techniques as ways exploring uncertainties. These from ‘scenarios’ and ‘roadmaps’ through to ‘transitions’ ‘pathways’ well ‘vision’-based techniques. The overall aim paper is therefore compare contrast these techniques develop simple working typology with further objective identifying the implications this analysis for RETROFIT 2050. Using recent examples city-based and energy-based throughout, compares contrasts these and finds that distinctions between them have often been blurred field carbon. Visions, example, used both transition theory futures/Foresight methods, scenarios also transition-based as futures/Foresight studies. Moreover, Foresight capture expert knowledge and map existing knowledge set roadmaps can inform the development transitions pathways not only help potentially overcome any ‘disconnections’ may exist social technical lenses such future trajectories mapped, but promote strong ‘co-evolutionary’ content.