Integrated Modeling to Mitigate Climate Change Risk Due to Sea Level Rise

作者: M. Convertino , G. A. Kiker , M. L. Chu-Agor , R. Muñoz-Carpena , C. J. Martinez

DOI: 10.1007/978-94-007-1770-1_23

关键词:

摘要: Climate change is expected to significantly alter low-lying coastal and intertidal areas, which provide significant seasonal habitats for a variety of shoreline-dependent organisms. Many military installations in Florida have bird data strongly illustrate their importance birds. Potential land use changes population increases, coupled with uncertain predictions sea level rise, storm frequency, intensity created planning challenge natural resource managers. This paper provides framework integrate multiscale climate, cover, use, ecosystem information into systematic tool explore climate variability effects on habitat dynamics the state-threatened residential Snowy Plover, migratory Piping Plover Red Knot, selected sites Northwest Florida. A proof-of-concept study described that includes data, species distribution wetland cover model global sensitivity/uncertainty analysis methods. The results these integrated models are used management options within an world.

参考文章(78)
Fred Annand, Loretta Battaglia, LP Boice, Lindsay Boring, Vernon Compton, Ralph Costa, Alison Dalsimer, Richard Fischer, John A Hall, Lawrence Harris, Sharon Hermann, DEPUTY DIRECTOR OF DEFENSE RESEARCH AND ENGINEERING ARLINGTON VA STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM, Proceedings from the DoD Southeast Region Threatened, Endangered and At-Risk Species Workshop ,(2007)
J. K. Lee, R. A. Park, P. W. Mausel, Application of geoprocessing and simulation modeling to estimate impacts of sea level rise on the northeast coast of Florida Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing. ,vol. 58, pp. 1579- 1586 ,(1992)
Casey A. Lott, Charlie S. Ewell, Kelly L. Volansky, Habitat associations of shoreline-dependent birds in Barrier Island ecosystems during fall migration in Lee County, Florida Environmental Laboratory (U.S.). ,(2009)
Casey A. Lott, Peter A. Durkee, Wendy A. Gierhart, Patty P. Kelly, Florida Coastal Engineering and Bird Conservation Geographic Information System (GIS) Manual Defense Technical Information Center. ,(2009) , 10.21236/ADA537470
Max D. Morris, Factorial sampling plans for preliminary computational experiments Quality Engineering. ,vol. 37, pp. 307- 310 ,(1992)
David Draper, Assessment and Propagation of Model Uncertainty Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Methodological). ,vol. 57, pp. 45- 70 ,(1995) , 10.1111/J.2517-6161.1995.TB02015.X
M.A. Burgman, M.A. McCarthy, P. Sjogren-Gulve, O. Kindvall, J.S. Hatfield, H.R. Akcakaya, C.C. Wood, Species conservation and management : case studies Oxford University Press, London. ,(2004)