Rapid climate‐driven loss of breeding habitat for Arctic migratory birds
作者： Hannah S. Wauchope , Justine D. Shaw , Øystein Varpe , Elena G. Lappo , David Boertmann
DOI: 10.1111/GCB.13404
关键词:
摘要: Millions of birds migrate to and from the Arctic each year, but rapid climate change in the High North could strongly affect where species are able to breed, disrupting migratory connections globally. We modelled the climatically suitable breeding conditions of 24 Arctic specialist shorebirds and projected them to 2070 and to the mid‐Holocene climatic optimum, the world's last major warming event~ 6000 years ago. We show that climatically suitable breeding conditions could shift, contract and decline over the next 70 years, with 66–83% of …
uq.edu.au
harvard.edu参考文章(73)
Sam Nicol, Richard A. Fuller, Takuya Iwamura, Iadine Chadès, Adapting environmental management to uncertain but inevitable change Proceedings of The Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. ,vol. 282, pp. 20142984- ,(2015) , 10.1098/RSPB.2014.2984
Theunis Piersma, Allan J. Baker, Deborah M. Buehler, Reconstructing palaeoflyways of the late Pleistocene and early holocene Red Knot Calidris canutus Ardea. ,vol. 94, pp. 485- 498 ,(2006)
Burt L. Monroe, Charles Gald Sibley, Distribution and taxonomy of birds of the world Yale University Press. ,(1990)
Kaera L. Coetzer, Edward T. F. Witkowski, Barend F. N. Erasmus, Reviewing Biosphere Reserves globally: effective conservation action or bureaucratic label? Biological Reviews. ,vol. 89, pp. 82- 104 ,(2014) , 10.1111/BRV.12044
M. Collins, R. Knutti, J. Arblaster, J.-L. Dufresne, T. Fichefet, P. Friedlingstein, X. Gao, W.J. Gutowski, T. Johns, G. Krinner, M. Shongwe, C. Tebaldi, A.J. Weaver, M. Wehner, M Allen, T. Andrews, U. Beyerle, C. M. Bitz, S. Bony, B. B.B. Booth, H. E. Brooks, V. Brovkin, O. Browne, C. Brutel-Vuilmet, M. Cane, R. Chadwick, E. Cook, K. H. Cook, M. Eby, J. Fasullo, E. M. Fischer, C. E. Forest, P. Forster, P. Good, H. Goosse, J. M. Gregory, G. C. Hegerl, P. J. Hezel, K. I. Hodges, M. M. Holland, M. Huber, P. Huybrechts, M. Joshi, V. Kharin, Y. Kushnir, D. M. Lawrence, R. W. Lee, S. Liddicoat, C. Lucas, W. Lucht, J. Marotzke, F. Massonnet, H. D. Matthews, M. Meinshausen, C. Morice, A. Otto, C. M. Patricola, G. Philippon-Berthier, Prabhat, S. Rahmstorf, W. J. Riley, J. Rogelj, O. Saenko, R. Seager, J. Sedláček, L. C. Shaffrey, D. Shindell, J. Sillmann, A. Slater, B. Stevens, P. A. Stott, R. Webb, Zap, Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility Cambridge University Press. pp. 1029- 1136 ,(2013)
Brendan G. Mackey, David B. Lindenmayer, Towards a hierarchical framework for modelling the spatial distribution of animals Journal of Biogeography. ,vol. 28, pp. 1147- 1166 ,(2001) , 10.1046/J.1365-2699.2001.00626.X
J. Andrew Royle, Richard B. Chandler, Charles Yackulic, James D. Nichols, Likelihood analysis of species occurrence probability from presence‐only data for modelling species distributions Methods in Ecology and Evolution. ,vol. 3, pp. 545- 554 ,(2012) , 10.1111/J.2041-210X.2011.00182.X
Eldar Rakhimberdiev, Yvonne I. Verkuil, Anatoly A. Saveliev, Risto A. Väisänen, Julia Karagicheva, Mikhail Y. Soloviev, Pavel S. Tomkovich, Theunis Piersma, A global population redistribution in a migrant shorebird detected with continent-wide qualitative breeding survey data Diversity and Distributions. ,vol. 17, pp. 144- 151 ,(2011) , 10.1111/J.1472-4642.2010.00715.X
Joseph R Bennett, Justine D Shaw, Aleks Terauds, John P Smol, Rien Aerts, Dana M Bergstrom, Jules M Blais, William WL Cheung, Steven L Chown, Mary-Anne Lea, Uffe N Nielsen, Daniel Pauly, Kenneth J Reimer, Martin J Riddle, Ian Snape, Jonathan S Stark, Vivitskaia J Tulloch, Hugh P Possingham, Polar lessons learned: long‐term management based on shared threats in Arctic and Antarctic environments Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment. ,vol. 13, pp. 316- 324 ,(2015) , 10.1890/140315
M. B. Davis, Range shifts and adaptive responses to Quaternary climate change. Science. ,vol. 292, pp. 673- 679 ,(2001) , 10.1126/SCIENCE.292.5517.673