A vectorial capacity product to monitor changing malaria transmission potential in epidemic regions of Africa.

摘要: Rainfall and temperature are two of the major factors triggering malaria epidemics in warm semi-arid (desert-fringe) high altitude (highland-fringe) epidemic risk areas. The ability mosquitoes to transmit Plasmodium spp. is dependent upon a series biological features generally referred as vectorial capacity. In this study, capacity model (VCAP) was expanded include influence rainfall variables on transmission potential. Data from remote sensing products were used monitor integrated into VCAP model. tested Eritrea Madagascar check viability approach. analysis relation rainfall, incidence data these regions shows that correctly tracks both where limiting factor factor. maps currently offered an experimental resource for testing within Malaria Early Warning applications prone sub-Saharan Africa. User feedback being collected preparation further evaluation refinement