作者: Alberto Meriggi , Marco Lombardini , Pietro Milanesi , Anna Brangi , Paolo Lamberti
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-22246-2_11
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摘要: From the 1960s onwards, European wild boar population has grown and expanded dramatically, invading agricultural areas causing increasing damage to croplands economic losses. The problem is particularly weighty in protected areas, where hunting forbidden. In these main ways tackled through shooting, compensation payments after claims prevention using electric fences. aim of this study, based on case Elba Island (Central Italy), was apply a management model for populations able mitigate social conflicts with farmers hunters. We identified which types crops structures were sensitive damage, months events concentrated. Leslie–Davis Ricker models used estimate every year. Population viability analyses (PVAs) carried out define minimum control effort that can lead strong decline. Finally, identify most at risk we built predictive model, an ensemble forecasting approach, averaging prediction obtained following Resource Selection Probability Functions maximum entropy algorithm Maxent.