作者: Dagnija Blumberga , Andra Blumberga , Aiga Barisa , Marika Rosa , Dace Lauka
DOI: 10.1016/J.APENERGY.2015.06.016
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摘要: In this paper we study development patterns of Latvian electricity market. It is done based on a newly developed computer-aided simulation model. System dynamics approach was used to simulate long-term sector in the region under existing policy design. Results demonstrate that renewable energy sources have high potential integrate generation balance. Important preconditions for happen are: presence appropriate support measures, continuous technological progress and fossil fuel price increase. Under such scenario around 70% carbon dioxide emission savings can be achieved by 2050.