Informing conservation planning using future sea-level rise and storm surge modeling impact scenarios in the Northern Gulf of Mexico

摘要: Abstract Coastal communities across the Gulf of Mexico are increasingly vulnerable to coastal hazards, including sea level rise. The contains 20 000 km² land below 1.5 m in elevation and is one most regions rise continental U.S. Wetlands among Mexico's economically ecologically important habitats that comprise thirty-one percent (28 372 mi²) within watershed. These increasing hazards threaten not only human-built infrastructure communities, but also natural ecosystems. Through a participatory stakeholder process project team regional stakeholders identified ongoing future conservation planning efforts were best suited be informed by sea-level storm surge projections, socioeconomic indicators, marsh migration scenarios. This study estimates potential impacts SLR human habitats, with emphasis on marshlands, both Galveston Bay region Texas Choctawhatchee Saint Andrew Florida. Project results include A) change viability analysis, B) community risk C) resilience analysis; D) long-term management analysis. Our suggests should incorporated into activities order allow decision makers more easily develop adaptation strategies foster face changing climate.