The psychology of inferring conditionals from disjunctions: A probabilistic study

摘要: Abstract There is a new probabilistic paradigm in the psychology of reasoning that is, part, based on results showing people judge probability natural language conditional, if A then B , P ( i f t h e n ) to be conditional probability, ∣ . We apply this approach study very common inference form ordinary reasoning: inferring not - from disjunction or show how can strong, with “close to” o r when non-constructively justified. When constructively justified, weak. also define suitable measures “closeness” and “constructivity”, by providing analysis these notions.