Resource Criticality and Commodity Production Projections

作者: Damien Giurco , Steve Mohr , Gavin Mudd , Leah Mason , Timothy Prior

DOI: 10.3390/RESOURCES1010023

关键词: EconomicsProduction (economics)CoalResource (biology)Commodity (Marxism)CriticalityPeak mineralsDematerialization (economics)Natural resource economicsQuantitative analysis (finance)

摘要: Resource criticality arising from peak production of primary ores is explored in this paper. We combine the Geologic Supply-Demand Model Mohr [1] to project future resource for selected commodities Australia, namely iron and coal which together represent around 50% value total Australian exports as well copper, gold lithium. The projections (based on current estimates ultimately recoverable reserves) indicate that Australia would occur lithium 2015; 2021; copper 2024; 2039 2060. quantitative analysis coupled with framework minerals Mason et al. [2] comprising (i) availability, (ii) societal addiction commodity use, (iii) alternatives such dematerialization or substitution assess broader dimension s Australia.

参考文章(16)
Gavin M Mudd, James D Ward, None, Will Sustainability Constraints Cause 'Peak Minerals' ? International Conference on Sustainability Engineering and Science. pp. 1- 10 ,(2008)
Steve Mohr, Mikael Höök, Gavin Mudd, Geoffrey Evans, Projection of long-term paths for Australian coal production—Comparisons of four models International Journal of Coal Geology. ,vol. 86, pp. 329- 341 ,(2011) , 10.1016/J.COAL.2011.03.006
Leah Mason, Timothy Prior, Gavin Mudd, Damien Giurco, Availability, addiction and alternatives: Three criteria for assessing the impact of peak minerals on society Journal of Cleaner Production. ,vol. 19, pp. 958- 966 ,(2011) , 10.1016/J.JCLEPRO.2010.12.006
S.H. Mohr, G.M. Evans, Forecasting coal production until 2100 Fuel. ,vol. 88, pp. 2059- 2067 ,(2009) , 10.1016/J.FUEL.2009.01.032
T. E. Graedel, Rachel Barr, Chelsea Chandler, Thomas Chase, Joanne Choi, Lee Christoffersen, Elizabeth Friedlander, Claire Henly, Christine Jun, Nedal T. Nassar, Daniel Schechner, Simon Warren, Man-yu Yang, Charles Zhu, Methodology of Metal Criticality Determination Environmental Science & Technology. ,vol. 46, pp. 1063- 1070 ,(2012) , 10.1021/ES203534Z
Steve H. Mohr, Gavin M. Mudd, Damien Giurco, Lithium Resources and Production: Critical Assessment and Global Projections Minerals. ,vol. 2, pp. 65- 84 ,(2012) , 10.3390/MIN2010065
Daniel May, Timothy Prior, Dana Cordell, Damien Giurco, Peak Minerals: Theoretical Foundations and Practical Application Natural Resources Research. ,vol. 21, pp. 43- 60 ,(2012) , 10.1007/S11053-011-9163-Z
S.H. Mohr, G.M. Evans, Long term forecasting of natural gas production Energy Policy. ,vol. 39, pp. 5550- 5560 ,(2011) , 10.1016/J.ENPOL.2011.04.066