作者: Damien Giurco , Steve Mohr , Gavin Mudd , Leah Mason , Timothy Prior
关键词: Economics 、 Production (economics) 、 Coal 、 Resource (biology) 、 Commodity (Marxism) 、 Criticality 、 Peak minerals 、 Dematerialization (economics) 、 Natural resource economics 、 Quantitative analysis (finance)
摘要: Resource criticality arising from peak production of primary ores is explored in this paper. We combine the Geologic Supply-Demand Model Mohr [1] to project future resource for selected commodities Australia, namely iron and coal which together represent around 50% value total Australian exports as well copper, gold lithium. The projections (based on current estimates ultimately recoverable reserves) indicate that Australia would occur lithium 2015; 2021; copper 2024; 2039 2060. quantitative analysis coupled with framework minerals Mason et al. [2] comprising (i) availability, (ii) societal addiction commodity use, (iii) alternatives such dematerialization or substitution assess broader dimension s Australia.