STUDI: a model to simulate the impacts of new metro lines on urban development in London

摘要: Urban systems are complex and change as a result of the interactions between their main elements. In order to model urban effectively, dynamics relationships these elements need be considered. This thesis investigates transport development, focusing on impacts new metro lines. A is developed for this purpose: STUDI (Simulation Transport Development Interactions) model. The concept underlying that infrastructure development reflected in agents involved process, which authorities, developers, businesses population sub-models. The sub-model regression forecasting number commercial residential premises, business sub-models microsimulation models. The simulates start-ups closures location relocation decisions. in- out- migration, demographic employment change, results include changes spatial distributions over time under different supply scenarios. has been London test wider First it applied evaluate Jubilee Line Extension (JLE) then was used forecast line open future: East Extension. Both cases indicate positive impact development.