Ecosocial consequences and policy implications of disease management in East African agropastoral systems.

摘要: International research and development efforts in Africa have brought ecological social change, but analyzing the consequences of this change developing policy to manage it for sustainable has been difficult. This largely due a lack conceptual analytical models access interacting dynamics different components ecosocial systems. Here, we examine changes resulting from an ongoing suppression trypanosomiasis disease cattle agropastoral community southwest Ethiopia illustrate how such problems may be addressed. The analysis combines physiologically based demographic pasture, cattle, pastoralists bioeconomic model that includes as dynamic constraints economic objective function maximizes utility individual consumption under level risk cattle. Field data show leads increased human populations agricultural development. However, absence sound management, these will lead decline pasture quality increase tick-borne diseases malaria humans would threaten system sustainability resilience. conflicting outcomes is used need serve basis resource management sub-Saharan Africa.