Risk assessment and decision analysis in conservation

摘要: One of the fundamental problems conservation biologists face when they provide advice to managers is how characterise and account for uncertainties which result from measurement estimation error, model mis-specification simple lack knowledge. Computer-intensive techniques, initially developed in 1970s, can now be used incorporate all these sources uncertainty into a rigorous statistical framework. Risk assessment combined with decision analysis provides methodology quantifying framework making management decisions an uncertain world. In last decade have been applied widely economics, epidemiology fisheries management. Their potential use biology reviewed here using two examples: population viability reduction by-catch small cetaceans fishing gear.