作者: Manfred Fischedick , Roberto Schaeffer , Akintayo Adedoyin , Makoto Akai , Thomas Bruckner
DOI: 10.1017/CBO9781139151153.014
关键词: Baseline (configuration management) 、 Commercialization 、 Environmental economics 、 Greenhouse gas 、 Software deployment 、 Efficient energy use 、 Climate change mitigation 、 Cost of electricity by source 、 Economics 、 Cost curve
摘要: Executive Summary Renewable energy (RE) has the potential to play an important and increasing role in achieving ambitious climate mitigation targets . Many RE technologies are increasingly becoming market competitive, although some innovative not yet mature, economic alternatives non-RE technologies. However, assessing future of requires only consideration cost performance technologies, but also integrative perspective that takes into account interactions between various forces overall systems behaviours. An number integrated scenario analyses available published literature. They able provide relevant insights contribution supplies change A review 164 scenarios from 16 different large-scale models was conducted through open call. Although a collection literature does represent truly random sample suitable for rigorous statistical analysis, overview can critical strategic about mitigation, spite uncertainties involved. it is possible precisely link long-term goals global deployment levels, significantly increases with greenhouse gas (GHG) concentration stabilization levels Ambitious GHG lead on average higher compared baseline. any given goal, exhibit wide range levels.